MODEL ASURANSI KENDARAAN BERMOTOR MENGGUNAKAN DISTRIBUSI MIXED POISSON

Abstract

Motor vehicle insurance is a form of protection of motor vehicles owned by the insured. One of the activities in insurance companies is claim. Claim is risk of loss claim is paid by the insurance company to the insured. Analysis of motor vehicle insurance claims typically uses poisson distribution approach. Nevertheless in many cases of motor vehicle insurance claim, the value of variance greater than the mean value. In this case overdispersed has been going on the assumption poisson distribution. If the poisson distribution continued to be used when going overdispersed, so the poisson distribution is inefficient because it affects the error standard. To solve the problem can be used mixed Poisson distribution.  This final project used two mixed Poisson distribution which is a mixture of gamma poison known as negative binomial distribution and poisson-exponential mixture known as a geometric distribution. Carried out on the data motor vehicle claim in PT. Jasa Asuransi Indonesia, Semarang branch year 2010 to 2011 it is estimated that of the 100 vehicle type Car policyholders aged <1 year will be 2 claims per year.