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PERBANDINGAN METODE IMPUTASI DATA KATEGORIK PADA PERILAKU KEUANGAN DIGITAL: SIMULASI MCAR DAN MAR MIKRODATA GLOBAL FINDEX INDONESIA 2025

*Dina Eka Putri  -  Department of Statistics, Universitas Mataram,, Indonesia
Adis Tia Juli Agil Asri  -  Departemen Statistika, Fakultas Sains dan Matematika, Universitas Mataram, Indonesia
Arni Nazira  -  Departemen Statistika, Fakultas Sains dan Matematika, Universitas Mataram, Indonesia
Open Access Copyright 2026 Jurnal Gaussian under http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0.

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Abstract
Large-scale surveys such as the Global Findex Database are crucial for monitoring financial inclusion, yet their microdata often contain missing values that can bias empirical analyses and weaken inference. This study evaluates three imputation methods for three categorical digital financial behavior variables (Fin3, Con12, and Con26) in the 2025 Global Findex microdata for Indonesia. Missing values were artificially introduced into a complete-case reference dataset (n = 407) under Missing Completely at Random (MCAR) and Missing at Random (MAR) mechanisms at rates of 10%, 20%, and 30%, with 30 Monte Carlo replications per scenario. Mode imputation, Multiple Imputation by Chained Equations (MICE), and random forest imputation (missForest) were compared using the Proportion of False Classification (PFC). Because all target variables are categorical, the simple baseline was mode imputation; no numerical variable was imputed using the mean. Mode imputation yielded the lowest PFC in 17 of 18 combinations of variable, missing rate, and mechanism, followed generally by random forest and then MICE. These findings suggest that, for categorical and imbalanced survey data, simple distribution-based methods can be competitive with model-based approaches, partly because of majority-class dominance and limited predictive structure. The conclusion is limited to the PFC criterion and the scenarios examined.
Keywords: Global Findex; Imputasi Data Hilang; Data Survei Kategorikal; MICE; Random Forest; Inklusi Keuangan Digital

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